Sunday, January 12, 2020

Are UFOs Sinister?

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As I have pointed out previously, most of the UFO theories do not make sense.  For example, if UFOs are spacecraft from an advanced civilization, why do they seem to try to hide, but so often fail to achieve even the primitive level of stealth that earthly aircraft can achieve?
 
There are other paradoxes as well.  For example, what could alien planetary civilizations possibly seek to gain from us?  If they wish to conquer us, they could have done so long ago, with less effort than it takes a bulldozer to destroy an ant hill at a construction site.  They would not even need to expose themselves to our weapons.  They could destroy us from afar, for example, by directing a few large asteroids to smash into our planet.
 
As far as our mineral resources, highly advanced technology could easily synthesize any element or molecule they desire, from hydrogen, the most abundant element in the universe.  As the famous science fiction writer, Arthur C Clarke wrote, “Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic.”
 
One thing that the supposed aliens could gain from us, that they could not manufacture, is knowledge.  While their knowledge of physics is assuredly vastly greater than ours, they might be interested in such things as social structures.  Whether from mere curiosity, or from a more practical motive, they might wish to study us.  However, such studies are best done without interfering with the society being studied.  UFOs (even if they do not exist!) have already exerted some influence on us, if only in our arts and entertainment.
 
Once again, we find that all the theories of UFOs have defects.  There remain only two that have none, or at least, no defects so serious as to disqualify them.  One of them is that UFOs are exactly what the government has been telling us since the famous Roswell incident:  that UFO reports are prompted by misidentified ordinary objects (such as aircraft or stars), or by hoaxes.  Case closed.
 
Even that theory has some holes in it, but so far as we in the general public can prove, it might be right.
 
The other plausible theory is that UFO reports are substantiated accounts of extraordinary phenomena, one of them possibly being that they are space-faring objects which are produced by alien, technological civilizations on distant planets.
 
This theory, while dramatic on the face of it, is not at all unreasonable, considering the size and scope of the observable universe.  Most people who know anything about science seem to accept as a given that such alien civilizations must surely exist.
 
This second theory still presents us with the problems, not so much of who, but of why, which we have already examined.  The question of why, if not plausibly resolved, could disqualify all the theories except the “misidentified objects” theory.
 
If that theory is also wrong, then is there a plausible one?  There is.
 
To consider what that theory might be, we must begin with the plausible premise that the government has at least some knowledge of UFOs that they are hiding from us.  What would the government hide, and why?  What would its purpose be?
 
After all, most people seem already willing, and able, to soberly accept the proposition that alien planetary civilizations exist.  No surprise there.  The public is also willing to accept that UFOs are possibly spacecraft from those aliens.  Again, little surprise.  Those two public attitudes being commonplace, then why would the government hide from us any knowledge it has that UFOs are what many of us already suppose they are?  Wouldn’t the public reaction be little more than a shrug, or at most, an outpouring of curiosity?
 
Apparently, the government does not think so.
 
To be sure, the US Navy has released audio-video evidence of at least one actual, official UFO sighting.  This did not result in public panic, or any of the negative reactions that some have proposed is the reason for secrecy.  The idea that, “the public cannot handle it,” is discredited.
 
That leaves us with this question:  might there actually be some government knowledge that we truly could not handle?  Even if there were no riots, revolutions or other spectacular result, might the public be so disturbed by the facts that confidence in our institutions would collapse, and collapse to a critical degree?
 
My suspicion is that there is evidence, of such a nature, that competent government analysis has concluded that such is the case.  Revealing it would bring about catastrophe.
 
As to what that evidence is, or why the conclusion is so terrible, I can of course only speculate.  But there is the possibility, and I think even the probability, that those high in the government believe it.
 
Imagine what would happen if the president of the United States, or perhaps a respected international body of authorities, began a speech, televised worldwide, which began with some words such as these:
 
“Ladies and gentlemen of the world, we have incontrovertible news about the UFOs.  The news is bad.  It is very bad.  We have been, and continue to be, completely at the mercy of a powerful force beyond our control.  That force is sinister, and it has no mercy.  Thus far, we have appeased it. The appeasement involves taking steps that you would, under ordinary circumstances, find utterly and unspeakably abhorrent.  We do not know how much longer we can stave off the inevitable doom we face.  Perhaps we can do so for years, even centuries.  But, the sacrifices now being made will soon become obvious.  They will be painful.  Prepare yourselves, because they involve you and your loved ones.  They are these:”
 
This theory has only one factor in its favor:  it fits all the known facts better than any other theory so far proposed.
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