After several years of reading and writing about the UFO phenomenon, I am finding that the subject matter is far more complicated than at first I had thought it would become. The topic has become so convoluted that, unless something dramatic develops to sort it all out, I may withdraw from further discussion.
The complication arises from the fact that there are many theories, of varying plausibility, that are being offered. They range from the evidence-based, scientifically founded, to the less plausible, and finally to fantastic speculations that are painful to mention.
Initially, the UFO theories seemed to center around supposed spacecraft in our skies. Later, there came theories of ancient lost civilizations on our planet. Now, the discussion has expanded to theories of so-called interdimensional creatures from other universes. More than that, commentators are talking about angels and demons, and something called cryptids, which include Bigfoot (Yeti). Paranormal subjects have also entered the discussion.
At some point, the subject matter must be enclosed by known science, but even the boundaries of science have widened so that people of ordinary intelligence are baffled by General Relativity and Quantum Physics. Recent observations by space-based telescopes are challenging longstanding concepts of the universe.
The human mind requires at least a minimal amount of certainty. While we may say that, “anything is possible,” we have to live our lives based on limits. When anything can happen, life becomes too chaotic to navigate.
So, unless I can find something important to say, I think I
will just make this my final post on the matter. I wish you all the best.
-
The UFO Paradox Has No Easy Solution
for American Thinker (11/30/2025)
by Robert Arvay
Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.
Despite the many millions of taxpayer dollars being spent by the government, investigating UFOs (UAP), there are certain paradoxes concerning the phenomena, and it seems that there are more inconsistencies all the time. This is leading to chaos, confusion and further distrust of institutions. The government, to paraphrase President Reagan, is not the solution. It seems to be the problem.
The most noticeable paradox is that UFOs, with their supposed advanced technology, should have better stealth than do our supposedly, relatively primitive aircraft, such as the B-2 bomber—but they don’t. UFOs, if they wish not to be seen, should never be detected at all—or, if they do not care whether they are seen, should be observed very frequently, and under conditions conducive to accurate, detailed photography. Either one or the other of these should be likely, but neither of them is the case.
What is least likely, is the halfway measure, that is, they only sometimes get seen, but never under conditions that would provide convincing proof of their existence, such as for example as we have with photographs of eagles or hummingbirds. Instead, all we get are fuzzy, grainy pictures that never persuade reasonable skeptics.
It has long been stated by such skeptics that they would be persuaded of the existence of nonhuman advanced technology if they could see it firsthand, and analyze it, to show that it could not have been created with our present abilities. Proof would consist of actual specimens of such technology, or perhaps, actual specimens of alien creatures themselves, with demonstrably different biology than anything that could have evolved on earth.
To date, nothing of the sort has been presented for public examination.
What we have instead is sworn testimony by witnesses that they have seen, first hand, with their own eyes, advanced technology not of human origin—and even seen the aliens themselves. Despite their high degree of credibility, that is not enough. There is a disturbing gap, very slight, but one in which even they might have been deceived.
We are therefore presented with two extraordinary, opposing claims. One of them is that our government has in its possession, incontrovertible proof beyond doubt, that there are alien, other worldly spacecraft in our skies. The other claim is that numerous expert witnesses of high repute, are mistaken, deceived, or lying. We cannot decide between either of these claims without extraordinary evidence, and that evidence has not been presented to the satisfaction of the public.
How long can this continue?
Our elected representatives have held public hearings which always seem extraordinary but inconclusive. Those same representatives have also held “closed,” secret hearings, in which they say they have heard compelling testimony from eye witnesses, who offer strong evidence, perhaps extraordinary evidence, that our government has in its hands, undeniable proof of the sort which will convince even the hardest skeptics that we have been visited by intelligent creatures from another planet, or even another universe.
Some of the claims are beyond extraordinary, such as that our government is in close communication with alien creatures who are influencing our own technological innovations.
There is an old adage by book reviewers, in which the weakness of much science fiction is that, when anything can happen, no sense can be made of what does happen.
If the extraordinary claims are true, if there is indisputable evidence, we should either be given it, or else, be given a persuasive reason why it should be withheld.
Having neither, the next logical conclusion for many of us
is that our government is up to no good, and/or it is utterly incompetent, or even
worse. What that “even worse” could be
might be dreadful. I will leave that
territory to the writers of science fiction.
-
-
