Saturday, October 10, 2020

UFOs: the Tangled Web of Secrecy and Deception

--by Robert Arvay

Recent developments are accumulating in dramatic fashion, including reports that the government has recovered actual physical material from UFOs, material that includes quote, “Off-World Vehicles Not Made on This Earth.” 

First, some context.

Few mysteries in modern times, have so captivated the public attention for so long, as the question of UFOs.  What are they?  Is there some ordinary explanation, or is the truth so astounding, that the government dares not release what it knows?  Can we, the general public, find out?  If we do, can we handle the truth?

For many years, a lifetime really, the skeptics were unassailable.  Show us the proof, they demanded.  Eyewitness accounts are too unreliable to be considered as proof.  Photographs are easily doctored, and mostly unclear in any case.  What we require is something material, something we can hold in our hands and analyze.  Only if it is something clearly not made on this planet will we yield ground.  Only if it is, say, some hyper-advanced technology, or a material not occurring in nature, which we cannot manufacture—only under such extraordinary conditions, will we consider extraordinary claims.

The skeptics had a point.  Science cannot afford to compromise the rules of evidence.  

In the past few years, however, two major developments have weighed against the skeptics. 

First, of course, is the US Navy’s well publicized admission that the gun-camera videos of purported UAPs (an updated and more respectable term for UFOs—Unidentified Aerial Phenomena) are real, not fake.  By “real,” we must be careful to narrowly specify that it is the official videos themselves that are real, not necessarily the interpretation of what is on those videos.  They could be artifacts produced by software glitches.  Expert eyewitness testimony that contemporaneously occurred, bolsters the claim that the videos do not contain computer errors, but again, this is not proof, not in the sense of materials in hand, subject to analysis by impartial scientists.

Second, however, is the claim by some, including generally credible sources, that physical materials associated with UFOs are actually in the possession of the US government.  It has been asserted that these materials fit the definition of proof, as demanded by the skeptics.

Here again, we must tread carefully.  The claim that the government has nano-metals in hand, which could neither occur naturally, nor be made by any earthly technology, is astounding—even more astounding than the UAP videos taken by US Navy aircraft.  Those videos are powerful evidence that something unknown, is able to penetrate our military airspace, and perform maneuvers that defy not only our aeronautical technology, but even the known laws of physics.  Evidence, yes, but it does not quite cross the finish line of proof--unless we really have those materials in hand.

Further evidence, however, is beginning to surface—that UAPs have interfered with our nuclear missile launch sites, rendering them unreliable as deterrents capable of retaliation.  If a foreign power, a nuclear-armed enemy, believes that we are vulnerable, then, not only is our national security endangered, but indeed, our very survival is put at risk.  Given that under ordinary circumstances, the threat of accidental nuclear war is ever present, even the perception that we can be momentarily rendered helpless is not to be lightly dismissed.  Irrational enemies such as Iran and North Korea, or a desperate enemy such as communist China, are inherently unpredictable, especially at times of crisis.  Are UAPs increasing this lethal danger?

Finally, one more factor further hampers analysis, and that is the fact of government secrecy.  Such secrecy is often necessary to protect the nation, but at other times, has been used to protect government officials from accountability for their incompetence or corruption.  We can never be sure which is the case.

Governments like to keep secrets.  Knowledge, as they well understand, is power.  To this end, governments also practice deception.  If hostile foreign powers believe we have alien technology, they might tend to be more cautious in their aggressions against us, for fear of that illusory—or real—potential power.  It will therefore be prudent to keep the enemy guessing.

In short, the existence of highly advanced technology from other planets is well accepted as a plausible explanation for UAPs.  Plausible, but not proof.  The government has ample motives to hide whatever evidence, pro or con, that it has—even if it is proof.

To put the mystery of UFOs into some realistic perspective, let us note that dark matter and dark energy, according to the world’s top physicists, are real.  They dominate the behavior of the universe, and yet, no one knows, beyond limited observation, what they are.  Similarly, UFOs are real, according to the US government, but no one can say what they are, or how significantly, if at all, they might dominate our future.

UPDATE (October 12, 2020)

In July, the New York Times reported that a small group of government officials, including Reid, and scientists believe objects of “undetermined origin” have crashed to Earth and been retrieved. The publication cited Eric W. Davis, an astrophysicist who worked as a subcontractor and a consultant for the Pentagon UFO program. Davis, who now works for defense contractor Aerospace Corporation, said he gave briefings on the recovery of unexplained objects to staff members of the Senate Armed Services Committee and the Senate Intelligence Committee, on Oct. 21 and Oct. 23, 2019.

https://www.foxnews.com/science/trump-good-strong-look-ufos

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